GAURIPUR, April 11 - Though electioneering has not yet gain momentum in Dhubri HPC, field survey made by various organisations and individuals reveal that this time the fight for the 4 Dhubri HPC seat is likely to be centered around three parties � AIUDF, BJP alliance and the Congress.
After withdrawal of nominations, only two candidates had withdrawn their nominations and 15 candidates remain in the fray.
The AIUDF supremo Badaruddin Ajmal may face a tough battle as he has lost his footing in the char areas of the constituency. This time the chanting of incantations will not yield any result as per opinion poll conducted by the ruling party. Zabed Islam, an ex-MLA from Mankachar LAC has been contesting as the candidate from BJP alliance but he seems to be inefficient in tackling the ground situation in such a vast constituency having more than 18 lakh voters. Abu Taher Bepari, the Congress candidate is not only popular in his own LAC but he is likely to be the fittest candidate for the Congress party. Moreover, he is popular in the LACs under Dhubri district.
Out of 18 lakh voters there are more than 5 lakh Hindu voters. Most of them are dissatisfied over the decision of the AGP for an alliance with the BJP. Considering these aspects of the ground situations, it will be not be so easy for Islam to come out successful.
In the last Panchayat election, the Congress party had shown its popularity by winning 19 ZPCs against 24 ZPCs and therefore, it is evident that the party candidate has a strong hold among the minority voters. The anti-incumbency factor will severely affect Ajmal this time and, therefore, he is likely to face a tough battle. As per survey made by various socio-cultural organisations, the Koch Rajbongshi voters may opt for the Congress as they have been losing faith in the BJP over the issue of granting ST status to six communities. The issue of CAB may also help the Congress in gaining confidence of the indigenous voters of the constituency. Other candidates are no factors for the Congress as almost all of them are new faces.