MORIGAON, March 26 - Political parties have launched their campaign in No. 10 Nagaon Lok Sabha seat. Here there are as many as nine Legislative Assembly Constituencies (LAC) in three administrative districts namely � Morigaon, Nagaon and Hojai. In Morigaon district, there are three LACs namely � Jagiroad, Morigaon and Lahorighat. In Nagaon district, three LACs are Raha, Nagaon and Barhampur while three LACs namely Jamunamukh, Hojai and Lumding are situated in Hojai district.
There is every possibility of polarisation of voters on religious grounds in those nine LACs under Nagaon HPC in ensuing polls. Though some Independents and minor parties have fielded their candidates in Nagaon, yet a direct fight between Pradyut Bordoloi (INC) and Rupak Sarma (BJP) is most likely in Nagaon seat.
In Morigaon district, Jagiroad LAC with its MLA-cum-State Health Minister Piyush Hazarika will most likely get the Bengali Hindu votes. But, the local AGP unit led by former Minister Bubul Das is in the anti-CAB (Citizenship Amendment Bill) camp, which may oppose the BJP candidate. The religious minority votes of Jagiroad LAC will go to the Congress. In Morigaon LAC, a huge number of supporters of the sitting MP and Union Minister for State for Railways Rajen Gohain are in anguish as he was denied the party ticket by the BJP high command. In Morigaon, Rama Kanta Deori, MLA, Morigaon is against Gohain and he was supporting Rupak Sharma�s candidature. There are two camps in Morigaon BJP� one led by MLA Rama Kanta Deori and the other led by Paban Manta, CEM, Tiwa Autonomous Council. The CEM, Tiwa Autonomous Council was the right hand man of Rajen Gohain. In the face of BJP high command�s denial of ticket to Rajen Gohain, the group of Paban Manta may go against Rupak Sharma. In Lahorighat LAC, where five-time MLA and former Minister Nazrul Islam is the leader, majority of the votes will go in favour of the Congress.
In Raha LAC, where Dimbeswar Das of the BJP is the MLA, voters may not support young Rupak Sharma. Here 35 per cent voters belong to the AIUDF camp. Since the AIUDF has not fielded any candidate in Nagaon, this section of votes may go to the Congress fold.
In Nagaon LAC, Rupak Sarma who is himself the MLA of the area, will be able to get his votes. But here too the old AGP voters are opposing the AGP-BJP alliance on the ground of CAB. In Barhampur, where former Chief Minister Prafulla Kumar Mahanta the MLA is still opposing the AGP-BJP alliance, what role the AGP members will play only time will tell. In Jamunamukh, where Abdul Rahim Ajmal, son of Badaruddin Ajamal is the MLA, majority of the votes will go to the Congress fold. In Hojai, where Siladitya Dev is the MLA, the BJP is in the driver�s seat. But the religious minority votes will go to the Congress party here. In Lumding the MLA Sibu Misra is trying to woo the Hindu Bengali voters saying BJP will reintroduce CAB if it is voted to power.
After a preliminary study, it may be said that there will be tough fight between the BJP and Congress at Nagaon and there will not be a smooth sailing for either of the two candidates.
