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IMF expects India's role to expand in Indo-Pacific region

By The Assam Tribune

United Nations, April 21 (IANS): The International Monetary Fund expects India's role in the Indo-Pacific region's development to continue to expand because of its robust growth, but it has to carry out more trade reforms, Ken Kang, the deputy director in IMF's Asia Pacific Department said on Friday.

"Given our robust growth forecast where we see India's growth rising from 7.4 per cent in 2017-18 to 7.8 per cent in 2019, we do expect India's role in the region to continue to expand," he said at a news conference in Washington.

"That being said, India does have room to expand its export orientation and to reduce further trade and non-trade barriers," he added.

"The statutory tariff rate in India is relatively high at about 15 per cent, and higher than those in the rest of the region," he added. "So there is room to do more on trade reform," he said.

Getting more women into formal workforce is priority for India:India must focus as a priority on ensuring that more women work in the formal sector as it continues with labour reforms, Kang said.

While "in recent years India has made very impressive progress in reforms," he said that "looking ahead there are important policy priorities" and listed three among them.

"One, is to continue improvements in product and labour market reforms with a focus on increasing formal female labour participation to improve the business environment, and reduce complex regulations, but also to address supply bottlenecks, particularly in the agricultural sector and distribution networks," Kang said at a news conference on Friday in Washington.

As one of India's major reform achievements, he mentioned the "introduction of flexible inflation targeting and of a statutory monetary policy which has helped to strengthen the monetary policy framework."

The Reserve Bank of India Act was amended in 2016, to provide for a Monetary Policy Committee that decides on the interest rate required for achieving the inflation target set by the government in consultation with the bank.

The other achievements include the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and the "major recapitalisation plan for the public-sector banks in order to accelerate the work out of nonperforming loans, as well as made some important legal improvements through a new insolvency and bankruptcy law," Kang said.

"We expect and hope that the reform momentum continues," he added.

"We are not saying that India's structural reform speed will slow down because of elections," Changyong Rhee, the IMF director of the Asia Pacific Department said.

"What we are saying is that the growth momentum and the structural reform momentum should continue despite the election period. So there is something misquoted," he added.

On Thursday, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde had said at a news conference on Thursday, according to the IMF transcript: "We have seen and we are seeing -- I am not sure that we will be seeing in the next few months given the elections that are coming up -- major reforms that we had recommended and advocated for a long time."

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